July 24, 2006

Shoehorning Syria

Hatched by Dafydd

According to an article in the New York Times yesterday, we're trying to "peel Syria away" from Iran and Hezbollah. We're hoping to work through Saudi Arabia's foreign minister, Saud al-Faisal, and their equivalent of the national security advisor and former Saudi ambassador to the United States, Prince Bandar bin Sultan, as well as their counterparts in Egypt and Jordan.

But the Times grabs the wrong end of the stick with this pretty boneheaded assessment:

But so far, there appears to be little discussion of offering American incentives to the Syrians to abandon Hezbollah, or even to stop arming it. The Bush administration has been deeply reluctant to make such offers, whether it is negotiating with Damascus or with the governments of Iran or North Korea.

We're not planning on bribing them, for heaven's sake; I suspect the incentive is more along the lines of telling Syria -- in John Bolton-type language -- that if they persist in supporting Hezbollah and the Sunni terrorists in Iraq, then we will urge Israel to attack Syria, and we'll join them. It's stick not carrot time.

A joint Israeli/American attack on Syria from two sides would be devastating to the Syrian military, hence to the ruling Alawite Baathist regime (and would probably lead to Bashar Assad's assassination by his successor as president of Syria).

Either way -- whether Syria cooperates with us and cuts off Hezbollah, or whether they tell us to sod off, and we saw them off at the knees -- both Hezbollah and the Sunni insurgency and terrorists would be stranded and starved. While Iran pulls the strings (both puppet and purse), the actual conduit through which control and money passes for these groups, as well as Hamas, is Syria.

I don't know whether Hezbollah in Lebanon could survive without the Syrian connection, especially after the Israelis finish their limited ground offensive; if Hezbollah is left weak enough, after Israel leaves, the secular and Christian elements of the government might well fight their own war against Hezbollah and finish them off.

I believe Iran directly supports Shiite insurgents in Iraq, such as the Iranian lapdog Muqtada Sadr and his merry men in the Mahdi Militia; so they would not be directly affected. But a lessening of violence from other sources frees up more Iraqi Army troops and American and British soldiers to focus on the Shia in Sadr City, the south, and elsewhere.

Too, Iran relies upon Hezbollah to serve as their main assault force for international operations; to cripple Hezbollah is to cripple Iran itself.

Assad has been resisting the connection recently:

A Western diplomat said Arab leaders had had trouble getting President Bashar al-Assad of Syria to come to the telephone when they called to express concern about Hezbollah’s actions....

[T]he administration’s declared aim is to carry out United Nations Resolution 1559, which calls for the disarming of Hezbollah and the deployment of the Lebanese Army to southern Lebanon. Syria, which was forced to withdraw its troops from Lebanon last year, may well balk at efforts to enforce it.

But while analysts say it is possible for the Bush administration and Israel to work out a solution without including Syria in the diplomatic wrangling, it would be difficult. Some Bush administration officials, particularly at the State Department, are pushing to find a way to start talking to Syria again.

Definitely an intriguing move on the Mideast chess board. As Matt Drudge would say, developing...

Hatched by Dafydd on this day, July 24, 2006, at the time of 4:50 AM

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this hissing: http://biglizards.net/mt3.36/earendiltrack.cgi/1022

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Shoehorning Syria:

» Resupply Is a Two-Way Street from Big Lizards
It's been plastered all over the news recently that Israel has caught Syria resupplying Hezbollah missiles (or trying to, at any rate); see the previous post for our reaction to that news on the Syrian front. But as Gary Larson... [Read More]

Tracked on July 24, 2006 5:18 AM

Comments

The following hissed in response by: Bill Faith

The above hissed in response by: Bill Faith [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 5:07 AM

The following hissed in response by: Big D

In a word Monky, no. But it is too tiresome to explain to someone like yourself.

Well, maybe not. You see Syria is providing rockets, which are launched against cities....

Nope it is too tiresome. My first impulse was correct.

The above hissed in response by: Big D [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 9:19 AM

The following hissed in response by: MTF

I posted this response in the wrong thread originally; sorry!

Money has been the established way to get support from Syrian leaders from as long ago as the time of the Romans. Tigerhawk makes a great argument that Syria's support is up for sale now in the fight with Hezbollah and al-Qaeda in Lebanon. Winning support in Syria will also pays dividends in the short term in Iraq. This is a strategic scenario I love.

By the way, the Arab street is speaking yet again, and they don't seem to think highly of Hezbollah.

The above hissed in response by: MTF [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 10:29 AM

The following hissed in response by: IanM

Monkyboy,

To state the painfully obvious: In war, you always try to cut off the re-supply of the enemy.

In your world, it may be hard to perceive this truth. Hence, your complete disconnect.

You might try reading a little more history and less of your own BS. Clarity for you may only come when the real enemy lets loose something in your own neighborhood.

Those who fail to learn the lessons of history are doomed to repeat it.

Hint: WWII

All bantor aside: The left is even more hated than the right in the Middle East and is playing a fools game.

-Ian
PS Hiding behind a moniker of “Monkeyboy” is a good clue to your quality and maturity of your of thinking.

The above hissed in response by: IanM [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 11:19 AM

The following hissed in response by: dasbow

Oh, I get it now. Monkyboy is French. That explains everything.

The above hissed in response by: dasbow [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 12:23 PM

The following hissed in response by: Dafydd ab Hugh

Big D:

It's not that it's "tiresome," it's simply futile. Monkeyboy is on Hezbollah's side in this conflict.

There are a number of leftists whose hatred of Bush has grown so deep and all-consuming that they will support any enemy of Bush's, no matter who it is. They have become perfect contrarians: if Bush supports democracy, then they're against it; if Bush supports Israel, then they support whoever fights Israel.

Too, these leftists already tilt so strongly towards the Arabs and against Israel -- to a large extent because of the influence of black activists, many of whom openly follow the antisemitic, rage-driven teachings of Elijah Muhammed, Malcolm X, Jesse Jackson, and Al Sharpton -- that, like poor old Joe Sobran in William F. Buckley's piece "In Search of Anti-Semitism," hatred of Israel has segued almost imperceptibly into hatred of Jews.

The mainstream of the American Left now shares the Arab goal that Israel be destroyed and the Jews driven into the sea. They rejoyce whenever Jews (or Americans) are killed in the Middle East, and they lament when Arab terrorists are driven back.

On lefty sites such as Daily Kos and DU, they don't even bother dissembling anymore: the antisemitism is blatant and palpable.

But Democratic politicians know there are certain things they cannot say out loud; they resort to code words, such as "disproportionate response," "negotiated settlement," "the peace process," and "ceasefire," to argue for policies they know lead inevitably to Jew killing by the thousand.

Monkeyboy is a tribalist, and he is arguing perfectly consistently... for his tribe. His style is to keep poking his opponents with a stick until they finally turn him out -- at which he declares victory and moves on to the next target.

Thus, responding to him is futile. You may as well debate Israel with Pat Buchanan or Noam Chomsky.

I've been patient with him for some time, hoping that he would eventually break out of his normal mode of drive-by snideness. And for a couple of days this month, he did... but it didn't take. Like a foreign substance, his body rejected rational debate.

At this point, he is deep into violation of rule 4 of the Reptilian Comments Policy:

  • Comments whose primary purpose is to derail, disrupt, or destroy the conversation, or to drive away other commenters, or to serve any similiar troll-like goal, will be deleted and the troll warned; subsequent violations -- or even a single violation for anyone on comments probation -- can result in permanent termination. The hosts are the sole judges. Squeals of "censorship" will be considered further abuse. While the hosts dislike having to institute this rule, we dislike even more seeing other commenters driven away by the abuse of the few (or in this case, the one). Reasoned dissent is welcome; verbal assaults and intimidation will not be tolerated.

My prediction is that he won't be here much longer. It's not a 100% given; he has a last chance, following my next comment, to take himself in hand. But I suspect, based upon behavior, that he is simply incapable of doing so.

Dafydd

The above hissed in response by: Dafydd ab Hugh [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 1:21 PM

The following hissed in response by: Dafydd ab Hugh

Monkeyboy:

This is your notice that you are now on comment probation for repeated violation of rule 4 of the Reptilian Comment Policy.

Your specific violation comprises repeated comments that are nothing more than snide one-liners without any actual attempt to engage ideas, coupled with actual lies whose purpose is to derail the conversation -- such as your knowingly false claim that the Taliban offered to turn bin Laden over to the United States after 9/11.

No argument that this isn't what you've been doing will be accepted. "Squeals of 'censorship' will be considered further abuse." Change or go away.

Any further violations will result in you being banned here. This is your final opportunity to change your commenting behavior for the better.

As rule 4 says, "Reasoned dissent is welcome; verbal assaults and intimidation will not be tolerated." You had a brief period in which you engaged in reasoned debate; evidently you didn't like it, and you reverted.

So you are on probation. Bear it in mind.

Dafydd

The above hissed in response by: Dafydd ab Hugh [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 1:33 PM

The following hissed in response by: FredTownWard

I agree with those who label it hopeless futility, but since is actually quite simple to do, I shall make the attempt. Monkyboy will not get it, but then Monkyboy does not get 2+2=4.

The difference is the difference in responsibility between manufacturing something and supplying something. It would assinine, moronic, even monkyboyronic to hold responsible the MANUFACTURER of a handgun or a machine gun or a missile for what someone they didn't sell it to later did with it. On the other hand it is quite logical and entirely just to hold the knowing and willing SUPPLIER of a handgun or a machine gun or a missile responsible for what someone they supplied later did with it.

Thus if you get caught knowingly and willingly selling firearms to felons, the NRA will cheer your conviction while at the same time doing its best to scuttle monkyboyronic lawsuits against the gun manufacturers.

Does anybody other than Monkyboy not get this?

The above hissed in response by: FredTownWard [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 1:38 PM

The following hissed in response by: Rovin

My prediction is that he won't be here much longer. It's not a 100% given; he has a last chance, following my next comment, to take himself in hand. But I suspect, based upon behavior, that he is simply incapable of doing so.

Dafydd

Why, oh most wise one, can't you just call this, (a permanent expulsion of "Al-Monkeyboy"), a "pre-emptive" strike to save us all who enjoy visiting this site and sharing in a comprehensive, and honest debate. I, for one will throw a party and celebrate the "cleansing" of Big Lizards. Your patience has been admirable to say the least. Had the boy/man/monkey showed any respect for your comment policy, that would have been different.

And, seeing as how this is "off-topic" from this original tread, you may delete this comment at your convenience.

Rov

The above hissed in response by: Rovin [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 3:06 PM

The following hissed in response by: dasbow

Hmmm... Maybe there's a difference between a criminal complaint (to gain a conviction) and a civil complaint (i.e. lawsuit). Nahh... can't be that simple, otherwise everyone would get it.

The above hissed in response by: dasbow [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 3:11 PM

The following hissed in response by: FredTownWard

Monkyboy wrote:

"If that's true, Fred...

Why did the Republicans feel the need to prevent Americans from suing America's weapons manufacturers for any reason?"

It's simple, Monkyboy; they DIDN'T. If a crappily manufactured handgun blows up in your hands and puts your eye out, neither the NRA nor the Republicans have a problem with you suing the manufacturer. However, why should you be able sue Smith & Wesson because some criminal shot you with one of their nondefective products when you cannot sue Ford because some criminal ran over you with one of their nondefective products?

The above hissed in response by: FredTownWard [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 3:21 PM

The following hissed in response by: Dafydd ab Hugh

Monkeyboy:

Your last post was another lie, Monkeyboy. You wrote:

Why did the Republicans feel the need to prevent Americans from suing America's weapons manufacturers for any reason?

But you know very well that S.397, the law enacted -- with a great deal of Democratic support -- only shields gun manufacturers from lawsuits by shooting victims after normal and lawful sales of firearms... not "for any reason." As noted, victims of defective products can still sue, as can persons injured by the negligent or criminal sale of firearms (e.g., knowingly selling to a felon or other person barred from firearms ownership).

If this were the first time, I might believe it was merely a mistake. But you have done it all too often to be given any benefit of the doubt.

Your claim was a lie, Monkeyboy. Lying is not allowed on Big Lizards. It is cause for deletion and banning.

This is your final warning: if you lie in any future comment, if you use your commenting privilege to harass or derail conversation, or if you commit any other violation, you're gone. No more warnings, nor will any explanation be supplied to you.

Dafydd

The above hissed in response by: Dafydd ab Hugh [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 4:16 PM

The following hissed in response by: Big D

Dafydd,

I feel I owe you an apology for feeding the Monky. My hope was that there could be some sort of responsible engagement with him on the issues, and as you say there have been glimmers of...something. I hesitate to call it intelligence, but at least some sort of semi-rational engagement. But alas, my optimism got the better of me, it was only a mirage to a thirsty traveler. The Monky has heresofar has refused to touch the big black monolith, and I fear shall never do so. Please let us see the backside of him.

And don't worry about hurting his feelings - he will trumpet his banishment to all his friends as proof of his fidelity to the cause. Really, banishment is win-win.

But to your lengthy post (it deserves its own thread by the way), it exactly agrees with my own observations, particularly in respect to the appointment of African Americans to high posts during the Bush Administration. But now I see the disconnect. Since they are allied with Bush, everything they do must be, by definition, evil. Everybody who works for Hitler MUST be a Nazi. It is so obvious to Kos and his ilk that they are frustrated even having to explain it to Neanderthals like myself.

I've also noticed the remarkable silence Kos has on the Lebanon developments. Classic cognitive disconnect. Reality doesn't match fantasy, and you can't say what you think because if you do, you will be identified as what you are. Liberals are just now preparing to shake hands with their anti-matter selves, with predictable results. Really quite amusing.

Not to feed the Monky, but an interesting side note. Condi Rice adamently supports the right to bear arms and self defense. Rice has said in interviews that if her father had not had weapons to protect them, they would have been defenseless against Ku Klux Klan nightriders. Hmmmm. I wonder who she sympathizes with in the current situation?

The above hissed in response by: Big D [TypeKey Profile Page] at July 24, 2006 5:01 PM

Post a comment

Thanks for hissing in, . Now you can slither in with a comment, o wise. (sign out)

(If you haven't hissed a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Hang loose; don't shed your skin!)


Remember me unto the end of days?


© 2005-2009 by Dafydd ab Hugh - All Rights Reserved