March 10, 2006

Careful What You Wish For...

Hatched by Dafydd

Correction: see below.

This one is a perfect example of a "media push" story -- an article designed not to inform us about the news but to drive the news. Like a push-poll, article style:

Bush's Approval Rating Hits New Low
March 10th, 2006
by Ron Fournier

More and more people, particularly Republicans, disapprove of President Bush's performance, question his character and no longer consider him a strong leader against terrorism, according to an AP-Ipsos poll documenting one of the bleakest points of his presidency.

Nearly four out of five Americans, including 70 percent of Republicans, believe civil war will break out in Iraq - the bloody hot spot upon which Bush has staked his presidency. Nearly 70 percent of people say the U.S. is on the wrong track, a 6-point jump since February.

So nearly 80% of people think "civil war will break out in Iraq;" and not unrelated, nearly 70% think we're headed on "the wrong track." However, virtually every military expert now agrees that the danger of civil war in Iraq is almost past, and that it was never very great in the first place.

The violence was concentrated in areas where (not coincidentally) many reporters stayed; it was deliberately staged to get maximal news coverage by CNN and the nets. And we now learn that the attacks were never widespread among the people; they were restricted to extremist groups among the Sunni (al-Qaeda In Iraq) and the Shia (al Mahdi Militia), men in black on both sides committing tit-for-tat revenges against each other. It was wildly exaggerated by a news media anxious, for several reasons, to video Iraq's descent into utter chaos.

And the Antique Media managed to convince the American people that civil war was just around the corner! With such a complete catastrophe, all of our plans dashed in the flames of the horrific "civil war," it's no wonder people think Bush has failed so terribly. After all, as AP breathlessly reminds us, Iraq is "the bloody hot spot upon which Bush has staked his presidency."

All right, so everyone is trembling, waiting for the civil war... but civil war never comes.

Instead, the government is formed; it seems stable; and even though there is some violence -- this is the Middle East, for heaven's sake -- the Sunnis, Shia, and Kurds continue to make political progress. And the Sunnis become even more aggressive about driving Zarqawi and his bloodthirsty foreign terrorists out of Iraq, as they have already begun to do (hat tip John Hinderaker at Power Line).

So how do Americans react to the unexpected good news from Iraq? My guess is that they start to realize they were duped by the Left... that is, by the news media acting in concert with the Democrats. Expecting the worst, when something actually fairly good happens, they greet it with relief and even exuberance.

It's as if, thinking you have stomach cancer, you go to the doctor in dread; but you find out that you only have acid reflux, which is somewhat serious but absolutely nothing like stomach cancer. Don't you feel a great joy and relief? "God's in His heaven, all's right with the world," and all that?

Here is what else can happen before the election, if the GOP and the president simply decide to do so:

  • Bush and the Republicans can make up, now that the ports deal is resolved. They can even have a fairly calm dialog about what to do about other ports whose terminal operations are controlled by foreign-owned companies (or even companies owned by enemy foreign governments, such as the Communist China-owned COSCO, which manages terminal ops at the Port of Long Beach). Democrats will probably oppose forcing divestiture on the Chinese, arguing that Communists who attacked us in 2001, seizing an American EP-3 airplane and holding its crew hostage, are much less dangerous than our Arab allies.

    Correction: as commenter Romeocat caught, the plane was an EP-3. I misremembered it as a different surveillance plane, the EC-130. Mea culpa!
  • Bush and the Republicans can agree on a significant reduction in spending; the Democrats oppose it, demanding higher spending while they scream about the budget deficit.
  • Bush and the Republicans in Congress can come to an agreement on building a border fence, which is very popular in the heartland, the South, and the West (not too well liked in Vermont but surprisingly popular in New Jersey). The Democrats scream that this violates the constitutional right of Latin Americans to illegally enter the United States to vote for Democrats in key contests, and they oppose it with every erg of energy they and their Mecha puppeteers have left.

All of a sudden, Bush won't be getting 74% approval from Republicans; he'll be getting 89%. Because a lot of Independents are very concerned about spending and illegal immigration (the remnant Perotistas), Bush will go from a 35% approval to a more natural 50% approval among that demographic. And his overall approval rating will therefore rise from 40% to 50%.

Maybe. Maybe not; but the point is, every one of these events lies in the hands of the president and the Republican Congress alone. Either Bush, Hastert, and Frist decide to come together... or they decide to fight a bitter battle to the end. The Democrats are of no consequence.

Because the Democrats have chosen to have no national platform whatsoever, they have likewise chosen for their fate to be in the hands of George W. Bush come November; Bush is always a strong finisher.

Yet here they are, wasting time publishing foolish polls that will only increase their indolent disconnect from the election eight months from now.

So it goes... and goes, and goes, and goes.

Hatched by Dafydd on this day, March 10, 2006, at the time of 4:10 AM

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» Addendum to "Careful": Words Apart from Big Lizards
Newsflash! The Associated Press is biased against Bush. I know this shocks you, since we all believe that the elite media is non-partisan, unbiased, as pure as the driven dandruff. But now that RealClearPolitics finally has the AP-Ipsos poll up... [Read More]

Tracked on March 10, 2006 6:45 PM


The following hissed in response by: Romeocat

Dafydd... Um, I *think* that the "American EC-130" was actually an EP-3, based out of Whidbey Island, WA, and belonging to VQ-1. My husband used to fly those planes with that squadron, and I remember him being very irate about the way some of the news sources were questioning the pilot's judgement.

... Unless, of course, this is a *totally* different incident you're thinking about, in which case I abase myself in shame and slink off in embarassment... ;-)

-- R'cat

The above hissed in response by: Romeocat [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 10, 2006 4:45 AM

The following hissed in response by: Romeocat

The above hissed in response by: Romeocat [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 10, 2006 4:49 AM

The following hissed in response by: Jim,MtnViewCA,USA

Ever since the '04 election the MSM has taken it up a notch. There is now little semblance of balance or fairness. Grim times ahead as we fight upstream against the "big lie".

The above hissed in response by: Jim,MtnViewCA,USA [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 10, 2006 9:06 AM

The following hissed in response by: CroolWurld

What? You mean the same morons who believe that Saddam might have something to do with 9/11 are geniuses for thinking there's a civil war in Iraq? It hurts my brain--but then I'm not nearly as clever as journalists.

The above hissed in response by: CroolWurld [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 10, 2006 11:24 AM

The following hissed in response by: Dan Kauffman

Bush's approval rating according to this polls was at a miniumum almost a week ago

Mar 4 41 57

has started to climb back up now.

I prefer ramussen, because even though he supported Kerry personally he did seem to give accurate figures, his projection for the 2004 election was the most accurate of all pollers,

Compare that to Zogby who predicted a Kerry landslide ;-)

The short term zingers may come back to harm the Dems this fall.

You are SUPPOSED to do this sort of stuff just before election day so you can maximise the first effects, and reap the harvest before the truth which usually lags starts getting out.

The above hissed in response by: Dan Kauffman [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 10, 2006 3:19 PM

The following hissed in response by: David

Ah, but Dafydd, it's important to remember that the best audience for Mass Media Podpeople lies are those who simply do not have the intellectual capacity to weigh the material presented to them. There the MMP and their fellow travellers in the Democrappic party have a strategic advantage: not only can they count on fellow ideologues to stay with their program of lies, but at least half the population is of below average intelligence, and more and more of the American populace cannot even decode simple prose.

The long-term battle for the American electorate is being won not so much in the media as in the prisons for kids that pass for "public education" in this once democratic republic.

(Ah, but despair, as I have been often reminded, is a sin... *mea culpa*)

The above hissed in response by: David [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 10, 2006 3:42 PM

The following hissed in response by: streeter

I forgot the name of the British company that the UAE is buying, but did even one Dem chicken hawk ever ask how many Arabs are working for that Company which currently runs the ports in question? Considering the number of Arabs in the U.K. isn't it likely that there may be a propotionate number working for a large corporation. We know the U.K. has muslim extemists within it's borders. And anyway, it's the British that are selling to the UAE, so why aren't the opponents of the deal attacking and alienating them. Is Blair the real Hitler and an even greater threat than W, the founder of Bushlam?

The above hissed in response by: streeter [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 10, 2006 3:51 PM

The following hissed in response by: Dafydd ab Hugh


I forgot the name of the British company that the UAE is buying....

I believe that would be P&O Ports, which is an American subsidiary of the port-terminal operations division of the same name (P&O Ports) within the corporate umbrella entity called Peninsular & Oriental Steam Navigation Company, Ltd.


The above hissed in response by: Dafydd ab Hugh [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 10, 2006 9:17 PM

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