October 25, 2005

Great News for Iraq...

Hatched by Dafydd

...But not-so-great for my petty, vainglorious self: I missed my prediction by one province!

From AP via Fox News:

Iraq's Constitution is Adopted
Tuesday, October 25, 2005

BAGHDAD, Iraq — Iraq's landmark constitutional was adopted by a majority of voters during the country's Oct. 15 referendum, election officials said Tuesday.

Results released by the Independent Electoral Commission (search) of Iraq showed that Sunni Arabs, who had sharply opposed the draft document, failed to produce the two-thirds "no" vote they would have needed in at least three of Iraq's 18 provinces to defeat it.

The commission, which had been auditing the referendum results for 10 days, said at a news conference in Baghdad (search) that Ninevah province, had produced a "no" vote of only 55 percent.

The New York Times has some more. Don't forget the new deal they have, where you have to suffer through an advert on your way to the story. Just click the "skip" button in the upper right corner. ( Why can't the ads hide behind the firewall along with the "premium" columnists?)

Alas for me, I had predicted that only one province would muster the necessary two-thirds to reject; Salahaddin messed me up -- but next-door Ninevah saved the day for Iraq.

Still, I had been confident throughout that the Sunni would not get their three; and on that prediction, I was correct. (Shoulda quit while I was ahead... but that doesn't suit my cheerful, optimistic nature!)

A great day for Iraq, and since I had no money riding on my prediction, I'll laugh it off and say a great day for me, too!

Hatched by Dafydd on this day, October 25, 2005, at the time of 5:44 AM

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The following hissed in response by: RBMN

The Bush Administration may draw down troops faster than anybody expects, after December's last-in-a-series election for the new permanent Iraqi government. At that point, an excellent way to get the Iraqi troops motivated into action is to stop bailing them out when things go wrong. Fear is a great motivator.

The above hissed in response by: RBMN [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 25, 2005 10:38 AM

The following hissed in response by: hunter

This is one of the only times in history where success, not failure, is an orphan.
If we had real journalists, W would be getting wall-to-wall coverage for being right, and for having the guts to not only end a tyranny but to successfully help Iraqis replace it with something grand: a Constitutional Republic. As he did in Afghanistan. But the disconnect between our media and reality is so great, and the political polarity is stark, that we are faced with what is without a doubt one of the great events that will shape this centurytaking place, and its happening with barely a ripple of notice.
Frankly this disgusts me about our national life.

The above hissed in response by: hunter [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 25, 2005 8:59 PM

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