October 15, 2006

Bride of Sprint to the Finish

Hatched by Dafydd

The previous two posts on the upcoming election are here:

Big Lizards has been bucking the tide of Republican defeatism, predicting that the GOP will limit their losses to 12 in the House and 4 in the Senate, retaining both houses. And today, we got some support... from a couple of fellows named Bush and Rove:

Amid widespread panic in the Republican establishment about the coming midterm elections, there are two people whose confidence about GOP prospects strikes even their closest allies as almost inexplicably upbeat: President Bush and his top political adviser, Karl Rove.

Some Republicans on Capitol Hill are bracing for losses of 25 House seats or more. But party operatives say Rove is predicting that, at worst, Republicans will lose only 8 to 10 seats -- shy of the 15-seat threshold that would cede control to Democrats for the first time since the 1994 elections and probably hobble the balance of Bush's second term. [Say, Karl Rove is even more upbeat than the lizards!]

In the Senate, Rove and associates believe, a Democratic victory would require the opposition to "run the table," as one official put it, to pick up the necessary six seats -- a prospect the White House seems to regard as nearly inconceivable.

I'm sticking with my prediciton of a loss of 12 seats in the House for now; but then, I don't have access to anywhere near the level of information that Rove has: internal polling, intimate knowledge of the upcoming GOTV (get out the vote) effort, and the full accounting of the money raised by both parties. But I reserve the right to keep fiddling with my predictions every day, if I feel like it, until the day of the vote itself -- November 7th.

So take heart, and ignore the doomcryers: we optimists may be wrong, but by God and my right arm, we'll go down fighting like hell. We won't lie down and die just to avoid making a scene.

Get your rumps out of your chairs and go vote. Vote early, vote often! Make the Democrats struggle for every bloody district they win from us... give them no freebies.

From my favorite play of all time:

MACDUFF
Then yield thee, coward,
And live to be the show and gaze o' the time:
We'll have thee, as our rarer monsters are,
Painted on a pole, and underwrit,
'Here may you see the tyrant.'

MACBETH
I will not yield,
To kiss the ground before young Malcolm's feet,
And to be baited with the rabble's curse.
Though Birnam wood be come to Dunsinane,
And thou opposed, being of no woman born,
Yet I will try the last. Before my body
I throw my warlike shield. Lay on, Macduff,
And damn'd be him that first cries, 'Hold, enough!'

That's how I live my life; that's how I manifest my politics. So lay on, MacPelosi!

Hatched by Dafydd on this day, October 15, 2006, at the time of 3:21 AM

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Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Bride of Sprint to the Finish:

» Sprint to the Finish Rises From Its Grave from Big Lizards
The previous three predictive posts on the upcoming election are here: Sprint to the Finish Addendum to Sprint to the Finish Bride of Sprint to the Finish It's been a while (ten days) since my last prediction on October 14th;... [Read More]

Tracked on October 24, 2006 10:01 PM

» Revenge of Sprint to the Finish from Big Lizards
The previous four predictive posts on the upcoming election are here: Sprint to the Finish Addendum to Sprint to the Finish Bride of Sprint to the Finish Sprint to the Finish Rises From Its Grave In our last fit in... [Read More]

Tracked on November 1, 2006 7:48 AM

» Addendum to the Sprint from Big Lizards
The previous five predictive posts on the upcoming election are here: Sprint to the Finish Addendum to Sprint to the Finish Bride of Sprint to the Finish Sprint to the Finish Rises From Its Grave Revenge of Sprint to the... [Read More]

Tracked on November 2, 2006 4:50 AM

» Addendum 3 to Sprint: Will the Sleeper Awake? from Big Lizards
The previous six predictive posts on the upcoming election are here: Sprint to the Finish Addendum to Sprint to the Finish Bride of Sprint to the Finish Sprint to the Finish Rises From Its Grave Revenge of Sprint to the... [Read More]

Tracked on November 2, 2006 2:46 PM

» Sprinting Over the Rainbow from Big Lizards
There is a lot of "paint" in this post... so beware, slippery when wet! The previous seven predictive posts on the upcoming election are here: Sprint to the Finish Addendum to Sprint to the Finish Bride of Sprint to the... [Read More]

Tracked on November 7, 2006 1:37 AM

Comments

The following hissed in response by: Eg

Dafydd, et al,

A very interesting and enlightening post from Kevin at Disposable Wisdom, NBA OR NFL?

Enjoy...

The above hissed in response by: Eg [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 15, 2006 8:15 AM

The following hissed in response by: Bill Faith

Excellent, Dafydd. I excerpted and linked at Bill's Bites >> Bride of "Blue, Navy Blue ..." -- Surrender Hell!. You might appreciate my somewhat anticipatory post, Old War Dogs >> ... the means to resist.

The above hissed in response by: Bill Faith [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 15, 2006 11:18 AM

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