"I'm surprised this result didn't receive national publicity, since this is one of the Senate races where the Republicans have a reasonably good chance to snatch a seat from the Democrats."

That's a joke, right? MSM talking up the GOPs chances to win? Especially an African-American GOP canidate? Count yourself lucky they are just pretending it isn't happening.

I actually read is on David Wissing's Hedgehog report, which is a fine blog for following the maryland politics in particular and political polls in general.

Now Mfume has endorsed Cardin saying he will "make a fine senator". But watch to see how Steele is able to peel of any black voter support. If he can get the usual suspects for a republican candidate (a losing number for most Maryland state wide offices), 25% of the black vote (that is about 7.5% of the total registered votes, I'm not sure what it would be among the likely voter polling) and get 25% of the black vote that would normally have voted to stay home, he will win this in a walk.

Thanks for the positive news from Maryland, and (right back at ya) here's a bit of potentially good news in Ohio: Zogby poll. It's the only poll I've seen that shows Blackwell with a snowball's chance, but Hey!, I'm all ears for good news these days.

Sorry, that Zogby link takes more navigation than I thought it waould need.

When you do manage to get to the Ohio statehouse race you'll find that Blackwell is reportedly 5.7 points away from Strickland in Ohio (after being down by far more earlier in August), at least according to Zogby.

Since the Dems have particularly sought to take Ohio that's a remarkable resurgence for Blackwell and the party, especially given the fact that Taft has flatline approval numbers and the state republicans are awful.

MTF:

Alas, Zogby's polls are interactive internet polls, and they're worthless. When he wildly overestimated Democratic votes some years ago, he disgraced himself; even if he now predicts Republicans will do well, I cannot forget his disgrace, nor that his methodology is not endorsed by any other major pollster.

I don't accept John Zogby's numbers for anything. He piddled away his reputation some time ago.

Dafydd

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